AFGHANISTAN AND INDIA’S FOREIGN POLICY
1) History
As a result of historical understanding, Afghanistan as an item on India’s foreign policy balance sheet has turned out to be a loss-making proposition more times than one. Twice in the last 40 years, India thought it had a good thing going, betting its fortunes in Afghanistan, partnering a superpower, and yet both times India was left in the lurch as the powers decided to quit in a super hurry.
India invested heavily in infrastructure projects across Afghanistan since 2001. New Delhi’s relations with Kabul reached a high under the Hamid Karzai presidency in Afghanistan. In 2011, Afghanistan signed a Strategic Partnership Agreement with India.
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi (R) shakes hands with visiting Afghan President Ashraf Ghani before a meeting at Hyderabad House in New Delhi, India, on Sept. 19, 2018. (Xinhua)
2) Introduction
India and Afghanistan have a strong relationship based on historical and cultural links. The relationship has its foundations in the historical contacts and exchanges between the people. In recent past, India-Afghanistan relations have been further strengthened by the Strategic Partnership Agreement, which was signed between the two countries in October 2011.
The Strategic Partnership Agreement (SPA) between the two sides, provides for assistance to help rebuild Afghanistan’s infrastructure and institutions, education and technical assistance to re-build indigenous Afghan capacity in different areas, encouraging investment in Afghanistan’s natural resources, providing duty free access to the Indian market for Afghanistan’s exports support for an Afghan-led, Afghan-owned, broad-based and inclusive process of peace and reconciliation, and advocating the need for a sustained and long-term commitment to Afghanistan by the international community.
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3) Highlights
Prime Minister Narendra Modi visited Herat on 4 June 2016 in western Afghanistan where he, along with President of Islamic Republic of Afghanistan H.E Asharaf Ghani jointly inaugurated the Afghan-India Friendship Dam, earlier known as Salma Dam. The completion of the dam project represents culmination of years of hard work by about 1,500 Indian and Afghan engineers and other professionals in very difficult conditions. It also highlights India’s continued commitment to Afghanistan’s reconstruction and development.
Prime Minister on 22 August 2016 jointly inaugurated through video conferencing, the restored Stor Palace in Kabul with President Ghani. During his his address at the inauguration Prime Minister reiterated India’s commitment that the 1.25 billion Indian people will “always” stand with Afghanistan in ensuring peace and prosperity.
4) PILLARS OF BILATERAL PARTNERSHIP
4.1) Cultural Relations
Given the extensive cultural linkage between India and Afghanistan, there is considerable interest in cultural exchange events on both sides. There have been several exchanges of artistes and music troupes over the past few years. Major such events include an “India-Afghanistan Culture Week” held in New Delhi in November 2017 in collaboration with India-Afghanistan Foundation (IAF) and ICCR; visit of a cultural troupe headed by Smt. Kumud Diwan to Kabul in September 2017; visit of ‘Awayee Band-e-Amir’ – a folk musical troupe from Bamiyan Province of Afghanistan for the 5th International Folk Music and Dance Festival organised by ICCR at New Delhi in December 2018; visit of a three-member Instrumental ‘Sarod’ group led by Shri Avijit Ghosh in October 2019.
the two Governments came together to establish an India- Afghanistan Foundation (IAF) in 2007. IAF is a trust fund which finances projects aimed at fostering India-Afghanistan relations through enhancement of economic, scientific, educational, technical as well as cultural cooperation. The management and direction of the Foundation are vested in a Board of Directors consisting of 10 members. Ambassador of India to Afghanistan in Kabul and Ambassador of Afghanistan to India in New Delhi are the Co-Chairpersons of the Board. The other eight members are nominated by the two Governments. The 12th Board Meeting of the India Afghanistan Foundation was held in August 2019 at the Kabul Chapter. The Board reviewed the working of the Foundation and looked into new proposals form both the Chapters.
4.2) High Impact Community Development Projects (HICDP)
Since 2005, India and Afghanistan have partnered in the area of community development through the HICDP program. Under this scheme, US$ 120 mn has been committed till date to various small to medium scale projects in areas such as education, health, water management, government buildings, sport facilities, agriculture and irrigation, etc. Around 433 High Impact Community Development Projects have been completed with Indian financial support in all 34 provinces of Afghanistan so far and around 110 projects are ongoing in various provinces of Afghanistan. On 05 July 2020, India signed five (05) agreements for construction of schools and roads worth US$ 2.6 mn.
During FY 2019-20, 37 projects were completed in various provinces of Afghanistan under the High Impact Community Development Project (HICDP) scheme of Government of India. An MoU for financial commitment of US$ 80 mn towards HICDP Phase- IV is currently under negotiation by both sides. This would take total commitment of Indian Government to HICDP to US$ 200 mn.
4.3) Trade and Other Areas
To combat the global pandemic of COVID-19 and related issues of food security, India is commited to deliver 75,000 MT of Wheat to Afghanistan in 2020. In addition, India has also undertaken supply of 5 lakh tablets of Hydroxy-chloroquinine, 1 Lakh tablets of Paracetamol and 50,000 pairs of surgical gloves to Government of Afghanistan in 2020.
Provision of food assistance of 11 lakh tonnes of wheat, both as grains and biscuits, was distributed to approximately 1.5 million school children
To promote food security, particularly children during the times of drought, India has distributed 2000 tonnes of pulses to Afghanistan in 2018.
A Medical Diagnostic Centre in Kabul was set up in 2015. The Centre provides latest diagnostic facilities to children of Afghanistan thereby generating goodwill for India.
Presently, there are estimated to be about 1710 Indians in the country. Most of the Indians in Afghanistan are engaged as professionals in Banks, IT firms, construction companies, hospitals, NGOs, telecom companies, security companies, universities, Govt. of India sponsored projects, Govt. of Afghanistan and UN Missions. The Mission interacts closely with members of the Indian Diaspora, assisting wherever required.
5) Commercial Relations between India and Afghanistan:
Given the geographical proximity and historical linkages, India has been a natural trading partner for Afghanistan and is the largest market in South Asia for its products. The total bilateral trade between India and Afghanistan for CY 2019-20 was at US$ 1.5 billion.
While there is immense potential to expand bilateral trade, the difficulties in transit via Pakistan was a major hurdle in expanding the trade ties. In order to expand trade to India, the Afghan government in collaboration with Government of India launched a dedicated Air Freight Corridor on 19 June 2017.
Since its inauguration in 2017, India-Afghanistan Air-Freight Corridor has witnessed close to a 1000 flights, carrying goods valued at over USD 216 million. This has provided a boost to Afghan exports to India and has directly benefited Afghan farmers and small traders and exporters.
India and Afghanistan now aim to expand the Corridor to other cities in both the countries. Another important initiatative which strengthened bilateral trade was the operationalization of the Chabahar Port in December 2017, followed by commercial agreement to manage port operations in February 2018. The Port has so far handled over 5,000 containers ferrying over 110,000 tons of wheat and over 2,000 tons of pulses sent by India as assistance to Afghanistan via Chabahar. These were delivered to various parts of Afghanistan and average transportation time (excluding processing time) involved was less than 2 weeks. In 2019, Afghanistan shipped around 700 tons of agricultural and mineral products to India through the Chabahar Port, clearly demonstrating the feasibility of Chabahar Port as a transit point for Afghanistan and eventually to Central Asia.
6) Current Situation
Recent political disruption in Afghanistan has affected surrounding countries in unexpected ways. This includes India, which has a significant volume of investment in the country and has been building a flourishing trade relationship with Afghanistan in recent decades.
India holds more than three billion dollars of investment in Afghanistan, and the countries’ bilateral trade amounts to around $1.5 billion. In addition, a large volume of trade from India intended for Commonwealth of Independent States nations in Central Asia is transited through Afghanistan, and India is among Afghanistan’s top donors of foreign aid grants.
Afghanistan holds a crucial position in India’s network of trade and diplomatic relationships, but the strong ties between these two nations has been threatened by the uprooting of democratic government and the establishment of the Taliban regime in the war-ravaged country.
Taliban has announced its plan to continue trade and diplomatic ties with India, given the current situation it is difficult to imagine how India can maintain the economic ties it built with post 2001 Afghanistan. Changes in foreign policy would certainly affect trade relations, but at this stage, India needs to step up and make its stance on the Taliban government clear to introduce some certainty for Indian companies and investments.
It is unclear if the Taliban is genuinely unlikely to disrupt Afghanistan’s ongoing friendly ties with India, and if it is willing and able to protect Indian investments and other important development and reconstruction works. Ultimately though, with so much at stake, India needs a clear economic stance on investment in Afghanistan now that the Taliban has come to power.
7) Suggestions for Indian Government to handle Afghanistan diplomacy:
The Indian Government shall not pour water on its diligent efforts of decades by breaking the connection from Afghanistan instead they shall consistently captivate the Taliban even against the popular sentiment of the Indian establishment. Keeping Taliban engrossed will help India to continue supporting the Afghan populace in general which is in practice a hostage under Taliban dictate. Moreover, in place of cash equivalent, India could aid Afghanistan in terms of medicines, food, warm clothes, blankets which cannot be used militarily or sold for cash and can only be used for welfare of the oppressed population and on all such occasions shall raise and continuously remind Taliban leadership their past pledges and their duty towards afghan population, including minorities and women. As the group has made a word to be more reasonable and careful regarding women’s rights and its protection, the Indian government should also be meticulous about their actions in this regard.
References:
https://eoi.gov.in/kabul/?0354?000
https://www.policyforum.net/how-the-taliban-is-affecting-indias-trade-with-afghanistan/
Written by Dr. Ashish Gupta